30 July 2003, 10:03 German consumer sentiment indicator rises to 4.5 in august vs 4.2 in July
BERLIN, July 30 - German consumer morale was
expected to improve further in August, the GfK market research
group said on Wednesday, signalling that consumers see more
prosperous times ahead.
"It is becoming increasingly clear that consumer sentiment
is emerging from the trough it reached earlier this year...
however, a strong improvement of the labour market is required
for a fundamental recovery," Rolf Buerkl, a researcher for
Nuremberg-based GfK, said in a statement.
The positive sentiment data echoed the closely-watched Ifo
business climate index this week, which showed business
sentiment in July climbed to its highest level in a year,
boosted by firms' expectations for the future.
NOTE - The consumer climate indicator forecasts the
development of real private consumption in the following month.
An indicator reading above zero signals year-on-year growth
in private consumption. A value below zero indicates a drop in
comparison with the same period a year ago.
According to GfK, a one-point change in the indicator
corresponds to a year-on-year change of 0.1 percent in private
consumption.
The "willingness to buy" indicator represents the balance
between positive and negative responses to the question: "Do you
think now is a good time to buy major items?"
The income expectations sub-index reflects expectations
about the development of household finances in the coming 12
months.
The additional business cycle expectations index reflects
the assessment of those questioned of the general economic
situation in the next 12 months.
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