8 March 2001, 12:39 MOF Miyazawa and BOJ Hayami nix direct JGB underwriting
--Japan BOJ Hayami: No intention of direct JGB underwriting
--Japan's Hayami: BOJ must keep prices stable, not inflationary
--BOJ's Hayami: Increased long-term JGB buys may raise interest rates
--Japan BOJ's Hayami indicates not mulling weak-yen policy
--BOJ's Hayami says Japan not in deflationary spiral
--BOJ's Hayami says mkt too small to buy asset-backed CP
--BOJ's Hayami says mkt too small to buy convertible corp bonds
--BOJ's Hayami says sterilized FX intervention more appropriate
--BOJ's Hayami: Desirable for FX levels to reflect econ fundamentals
--BOJ's Hayami says not thinking of weak yen policy
--BOJ Hayami says strong currency not against national benefit
--MOF's Miyazawa indicates Japan not in deflationary spiral
--Japan MOF Miyazawa says economy on recovery path
--Japan MOF Miyazawa says falling prices not normal situation
--Japan MOF's Miyazawa says interest rates abnormally low
--Japan MOF's Miyazawa opposes BOJ direct JGB underwriting
By Stephen Cannon
Tokyo, March 8 (BridgeNews) - Bank of Japan Governor Masaru Hayami and
Finance Minister Kiichi Miyazawa said Thursday in parliament that they
oppose the idea of having the central bank directly underwrite government
bonds. They also agreed that although current price falls are a concern,
Japan is not in a deflationary spiral, but Miyazawa stressed a need to
determine the cause of stagnating personal consumption.
* * *
"The current trend of declining prices isn't good. I don't think price
falls are leading to declines in sales and an increase in unemployment
like in a textbook. However, the continuing decline in prices is a worry
and as politicians we have to wonder why household spending is stagnant,"
Miyazawa said in the upper house budget committee.
Expressing his views on deflation, Hayami repeated factors such as
deregulation and corporate rationalization are pushing down prices but
that he doesn't think that a lack of private demand is the cause for price
declines at this time.
However, he added that current price falls warrant "more careful
inspection than before" because of the possibility that price falls may
lead to weak demand which may in turn push down prices in the future if
the economy deteriorates further.
Also, speaking on price declines, Miyazawa said, "Japan's economy is
on a recovery track. Capital spending and corporate activity has recovered
as we had hoped, but personal consumption hasn't recovered yet. This is
different from the usual pattern of an economic recovery and the biggest
issue. I don't really care if you call it deflation or not, prices are
falling and it's not normal."
Miyazawa said Wednesday that Japan's economy is in a bad condition,
leading to speculation that he has downgraded his assessment of the
economy. While this may be true, he still asserts that the economy is
moving upward.
Despite Miyazawa's concern for the decline in prices, Hayami said,
"It's the responsibility of the Bank of Japan to work to make prices
neither inflationary nor deflationary. The Bank of Japan's directive is to
keep prices stable. It's our responsibility to make companies and
households rest easily in their daily lives."
On the issue of trying to further ease monetary policy through having
the
Japan's central bank buy long-term government securities directly from the
government rather than the usual practice of buying them from secondary
markets, both men were negative.
"I have never heard anyone from the (Liberal Democratic) Party say any
such thing seriously, rather it's something that is spoken of among
scholars. I think as a realistic policy, we shouldn't do it. I'm opposed
to it," Miyazawa said. Miyazawa is a senior member of the Liberal
Democratic Party.
"Politicians have never requested to me that the Bank of Japan should
directly underwrite government bonds. I have no intention of directly
underwriting government bonds. It can invite inflation and we shouldn't do
it," Hayami chimed in.
Turning to why interest rates on Japanese government bonds haven't
risen despite a recent downgrade by Standard & Poor's investors rating
service, Miyazawa said, "It's a sign that government bonds are extremely
popular for the yield to have fallen so low. But it's not something to
really get happy about.
From the perspective of the government it's easy to issue government bonds
because the coupon rate is so low, but it also shows that private demand
for funds is very low or that it's not going into the stock market.
However, regardless of what Standard & Poor's or Moody's (Investor
Services) says, the reality that (JGBs) are a popular item is stronger.
However, I'm not particularly happy about it because it reflects an
irregularity in Japan's economy."
On the same issue, Hayami said, "Not very many of Japan's government
bonds are owned by foreign investors; only about 7%. We need to expand the
market and put Japanese government bonds in the international arena.
However, I don't think that trust towards Japan's bonds is decreasing at
all. It's true that because the amount of personal savings is increasing
and borrowers are scarce, banks have no choice but to increase their
purchases of government bonds, and I agree with Mr. Miyazawa's opinion on
this," speaking after Miyazawa noted this point.
Moody's downgraded Japan's sovereign debt rating last August, Standard
& Poor's conducted its downgrade on the sovereign in February.
Hayami also denied that his Wednesday comments on a weak-yen policy to
boost the economy were meant as an endorsement of such a policy.
"The policy of yen weakening exists but I merely meant to explain it
as a measure and had no intention of promoting the use of such a policy.
Foreign exchange market intervention is under the jurisdiction of the
Finance Ministry.
As I noted yesterday, artificially lowering the price of the currency
causes import prices to increase and is a barrier to a healthy economy in
some ways.
If you think about it there are many problems with such a policy and I
meant to speak of it in a negative manner," Hayami said.
"It's desirable for foreign exchange markets to reflect economic
fundamentals and move in a stable manner. It's not against the national
interest for the currency to strengthen," Hayami added.
For his part, Miyazawa said, "I have absolutely no feeling that
foreign exchange markets should be artificially manipulated as a economic
stimulus measure."
The U.S. dollar/yen strengthened on Hayami's Wednesday comments and
weakened from Hayami's above comments. The dollar/yen stood at 119.47 at
1818 JT. More
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