30 March 2001, 16:23 French February jobless rate lowest in more than a decade.
Paris, March 30 (BridgeNews) - France's unemployment rate hit its
lowest level in more than a decade in February, falling to 8.8% of the
workforce as new job offers multiplied, the government reported Friday.
The number of people out of work fell by 40,000 to 2,315,000, while
the number of registered job-seekers fell by 27,200 to 2,092,500.
Job offers rose by more than 6% from January, though compared with
February the year before the pace was nearly six times slower.
Prime Minister Lionel Jospin's Socialist government seized the news as
further proof that its employment policies, especially for French youth,
are creating positive economic returns. "The recent favorable economic
climate in France alone doesn't explain the historic sharp downward trend
in joblessness," Labor Minister Elisabeth Guigou said.
But the apparent good news is shadowed by large layoff plans announced
by a couple of French companies earlier in the week, and by the continued
softness in the U.S. economy, which may bump French and euro-zone job
creation, economists said.
They also noted that the sharp unemployment drop recorded at the start
of this year may have been fueled by seasonal factors, suggesting that the
recent progress might be slightly overestimated.
"We expect the fall in unemployment to lose some steam throughout this
year," said Stephane Deo, economist at UBS Warburg, although the bank
still sees the unemployment rate down to 8.2% at year-end.
Dominique Barbet, economist at BNP Paribas, added that slower U.S.
growth heralds a weaker appetite for French goods--a phenomenon bound to
impact an already weakened French industrial sector.
But the services sector, which makes up about 75% of the economy,
would only be hit in isolated areas, suggesting the overall French labor
market will see a more limited impact than Germany, which sends a higher
proportion of manufactured goods across the Atlantic.
"We'll continue to see a dichotomy in the industry sector and the
service sector," Barbet said. "Employment gains have been more important
in France...(the labor picture) won't be as affected as other countries in
Europe," he said.
"The bottom line is that the decline in unemployment will slow, but we
will still continue on a downward trend."
The labor ministry said the decline in joblessness was widespread in
February, though sharpest among young persons. Overall youth unemployment
fell by 2.1%, and was down by 1.3% among workers between 25 and 49 years
of age. It was down by nearly half that rate among workers 50 years and
older.
Both males and females got off the dole at an equally rapid rate in
February, while the number of long-term unemployed, those without a job
for a year or more, fell by nearly 700,000. According to the labor
ministry, this category has seen a 40% decline over the last three and a
half years.
However, the figures showed that 336,000 persons registered at French
jobless offices in February, an increase of 2.6% compared with January.
The number of those made redundant for economic reasons rose 2.0%,
while the number registering as unemployed due to the ending of a
temporary job jumped 3.4% in February. End
By BridgeNews
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