2 March 2001, 14:13 EMU FEB. SENTIMENT LOWEST SINCE OCT99; ALL COMPONENTS DOWN
BRUSSELS (MktNews) - The European Commission's economic sentiment
index for the eurozone fell in February to the lowest level since
October 1999, as all components of the index dropped, the Commission
reported Friday.
The decline in sentiment is another sign that the eurozone economy
is slowing early this year and will increase calls from some analysts
for the European Central Bank to cut interest rates soon. However, ECB
President Wim Duisenberg said Thursday that eurozone sentiment remains
high and that the central bank still expects eurozone growth this year
to be near 3%.
The eurozone sentiment index stood at 102.7 in February, down from
103.1 in January (revised from 103.0). The February result was below all
forecasts in a Market News survey.
Eurozone industrial sentiment showed the largest drop, to +1 in
February from +3 in January (revised from +2) and +5 in December. The
decline was larger than most forecasts in a Market News survey and
stood at the lowest level since January 2000.
Manufacturing production expectations fell to +12 in February from
+14 in January and +18 in December. But recent production rose to +10
from +8 in January but was still below the +12 reading in December.
Sentiment on overall manufacturing orders was stable at 0 in
February, but down from +4 in both November and December. Export order
sentiment rose to 0 from -1 in January.
Eurozone consumer confidence dropped only slightly according to the
monthly survey, to -2 in February from -1 in January (revised from -2),
but was still the second best reading since August.
Consumers remained quite confident about their finances, with the
financial situation of households in the next 12 months staying at
record levels (stable at +4), the Commission said. But consumers were
more concerned about the general economic situation, with this subindex
declining for the second month in a row to -2 from -1 in January and 0
in December.
The eurozone share price index fell for the third month in a row to
279.6 in February from 288.3 in January.
Eurozone construction sentiment fell to -2 in February from +1 in
January.
Industrial and consumer sentiment each account for one-third of the
overall economic sentiment index. Construction sentiment and share
prices each account for one-sixth.
Retail sentiment -- which is not included in the overall economic
sentiment index -- was stable at 0 in February after rising from -4 in
both November and December. The February reading remained seven points
above the long-term average and reinforces expectations that tax cuts in
several large EMU states will boost consumer spending in the first half
of this year.
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