16 March 2001, 17:26 GERMANY EICHEL: NO REASON FOR ALARM ON GERMAN, WORLD GROWTH
FRANKFURT (MktNews) - German Finance Minister Hans Eichel said
Friday that he sees "absolutely no reason for alarm" on the state of the
German, European and global economies.
"Everyone agrees that we (in Germany) have a broad-based economic
upswing but at a somewhat slower pace than last year due to the oil
price crisis and the slowdown in America and Japan," Eichel told
reporters following a banking conference here.
"But because we in Europe, and most of all in Germany, have cut
taxes, we have a good chance that the economy will remain robust and
stable on a broad base," Eichel continued.
He said he had "no new figure" for the government's official
forecast, maintaining the current prediction that growth would be
between 2.6% and 2.9% this year, centered on 2.75%. He noted that recent
German economic data were "very contradictory."
Eichel acknowledged that many private forecasts are below that of
the government, and that some of them are calling for German growth this
year of as low as 2%.
"But even 2% is more than the average we saw in the 1990s," Eichel
said.
Turning to the global economy, Eichel played down concerns that
the economic troubles now being seen in the United States and Japan
could fuel a wider global slowdown.
"I don't believe so," he told reporters. "The Americans have acted
very quickly," he said, noting the Federal Reserve's interest rates cuts
in January. In addition, recent U.S. labor market data were "very good"
and retail sales data were "stable," he said.
Moreover, German exports are "booming."
"We have absolutely no reason to get nervous, but of course one can
never say exactly what the future will bring," he said.
Eichel also declined to comment on reports that the federal
government is facing a large, and growing, deficit shortfall due to
higher-than-expected spending and lower-than-expected tax revenues.
Eichel repeated that a reliable assessment of revenue intake could not
be made before the new official tax estimate in May.
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