14 March 2001, 17:45 US FX Daily Outlook: Dollar mixed, gives up gains versus euro (part 5)
* GBP/USD took advantage of dollar's intraday weakness against the
European currencies to bounce from a two-week low of 1.4442. Resistance is
now seen at 1.4544 from the 20-day moving average and at 1.4557 from the
100-day moving average.
U.K. unemployment finally fell below the 1 million mark in February
for the first time in more than 25 years, to deliver the government a
welcome pre-election lift. The claimant count dropped 10,600 to 996,200, a
rate of only 3.4%, and is now at its lowest since November 1975.
The outlook is mixed to slightly bullish.
Support: 1.4442 (overnight low), 1.4402 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement
level of Nov.-Jan. uptrend), 1.4319 (Feb. 20 low; 2 1/2-month low), 1.4311
(Dec. 5-6 lows), 1.3966 (Nov. 24 trough).
Resistance: 1.4534 (50% Fibonacci retracement level of the Nov.-Jan.
rally), 1.4540 (overnight high), 1.4544 (20-day moving average), 1.4557
(100-day moving average), 1.4666 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement level of the
Nov.-Jan. rally),1.4673 (60-day moving average), 1.4756 (March 2 high),
1.4830 (Feb. 5 high), 1.5031 (Jan. 12 high), 1.5043 (50% Fibonacci
retracement level of Oct. 1999-Sep. 2000 downtrend).
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