13 March 2001, 16:45 GERMANY: JAN. FAZ INDICATOR DOWN Y/Y FOR 1ST TIME IN 2 YRS
FRANKFURT (MktNews) - The Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung's German
economic indicator slumped in January and stood below the year-earlier
level for the first time in two years, the newspaper reported Tuesday.
The FAZ indicator fell 0.5% in January to a level of 120.4.
While business sentiment in recent months seemed to be worse than
the actual economic situation, the real economic situation has now
deteriorated, the newspaper said.
For example, the sharp drop in foreign demand for German
manufactured products hints on the possibility that the strong growth of
exports is coming to an end, the FAZ said.
In addition, the euro's exchange rate has increased significantly
in real terms. Sentiment in the manufacturing sector deteriorated, as
did job offers in the FAZ.
The index gives the impression that the economy will not benefit
significantly from the income tax cuts that took effect at the
beginning of the year, the newspaper concluded. The German government
and the European Central Bank are counting on higher consumer spending,
spurred by tax cuts and continued gain in employment, to offset the
expected decline in net exports this year.
The indicator is meant to signal German industrial production six
month ahead and should help identify turning points in the business
cycle.
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