3 July 2026, 18:10 Germany: Bund Yields Post First Weekly Rise in a Month.
Germany’s 10-year Bund yield rose to 2.93%, marking its first weekly increase since early June with a nearly 9 bp rise. Traders adjusted positions following the initial drop in yields after the US-Iran deal, while rising long-term yields in Japan, driven by concerns over increased spending, also pushed German yields higher. European bond yields remain well below the multi-year peaks seen in May, as falling crude prices, softer-than-expected inflation, and dovish comments from ECB President Christine Lagarde led markets to scale back bets on a third ECB rate hike this year. Money markets still view a second hike as more likely than not. June’s inflation data undershot expectations, with headline inflation easing to 2.8% and core inflation slowing to 2.4%. At the ECB’s Sintra Forum, Lagarde noted that risks to euro-area inflation and growth had become more balanced. Meanwhile, a weaker-than-expected US jobs report further dampened expectations for a near-term Federal Reserve rate hike.
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