The New York Fed’s Empire State Manufacturing Index fell to 5.7 in June 2026, down from 19.6 in the previous month and well below market expectations of 14, indicating a notable slowdown in regional manufacturing activity, according to firms surveyed in the Empire State Manufacturing Survey. Despite the weaker headline reading, several underlying indicators showed continued expansion. New orders and shipments both rose, while unfilled orders also increased. However, supply chain pressures persisted, with delivery times lengthening and supply availability continuing to deteriorate. Labor market conditions remained firm, with employment expanding for a fifth consecutive month and the average workweek also increasing. Meanwhile, inflationary pressures remained elevated, as both input and selling price increases stayed strong. Looking ahead, firms maintained a broadly optimistic outlook for business conditions over the coming months, despite near-term moderation in activity.