The euro edged lower as traders weighed the latest in US-Iran negotiations, including a 10-day extension of President Donald Trump’s deadline for a deal to April 6. While German Foreign Minister Johann Wadephul confirmed indirect contacts and upcoming direct talks in Pakistan, the muted market reaction suggests skepticism that a breakthrough is imminent, with President Trump seen as buying time to bolster military presence in the region. Meanwhile, Spain’s inflation surged to 3.3% in March, the highest since June 2024, though below expectations of 3.9%. The shift in ECB policy expectations has been stark: traders now price in at least two interest rate hikes this year, with a strong chance of a third, reversing earlier bets on a 40% likelihood of a 2026 cut.