30 April 2007, 12:55   Money supply growth surged again in the euro zone

Money supply growth surged again in the euro zone, adding to expectations that the European Central Bank will raise interest rates imminently. March broad M3 money supply growth jumped 10.9% on the year, the strongest rise in 24 years, and the highest growth rate since the introduction of the euro. M3 growth rose 10.0% in February. The more closely watched three-month moving average for M3, which irons out some of the monthly fluctuations, expanded 10.3% in the January-March period, up from the December-February rate of 9.9%. That is well above the ECB's 4.5% reference value for the three-month average, which it considers in line with maintaining price stability. The March figures also exceed market expectations of 9.7% annual M3 growth and a three-month rate of 9.8%. Markets believe the ECB will raise the key refinancing minimum bid rate at its June 6 policy meeting to 4.00% from 3.75%. Many market participants say the ECB won't stop at 4.00%, expecting at least one more hike thereafter. The ECB has hiked interest rates by 25 basis points seven times since the start of its monetary tightening in December 2005.

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