15 September 2005, 10:59  Dollar up before US data, but investors cautious

The dollar strengthened on Thursday but was seen treading familiar ranges on caution ahead of a slew of data that should shed light on Hurricane Katrina's damage to the U.S. economy. Trading was also kept in check by uncertainty about whether the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates or pause its 14-month credit tightening cycle at its policy meeting on Tuesday, traders said. For now the dollar was seen well-supported in the medium term against the yen due to strong demand from Japanese institutional and retail investors. "There are more buying needs for the dollar than selling, which puts it on course for a further rise," said Mitsuru Sahara, senior trader at UFJ Bank. Figures from Japan's Finance Ministry on Thursday reflected that investment impact on the yen. Despite foreign investors buying a net 686.7 billion yen ($6.22 billion) of Japanese shares last week, the second-biggest amount in the past 18 months, it was more than offset by Japan's net 696.9 billion yen of foreign bond purchases. Overseas investors have stuffed about $39 billion into Tokyo stocks over the past two months and helped drive the Nikkei to four-year highs, but Japanese funds have bought almost the same amount of bonds from abroad. UFJ's Sahara said the market seemed to have formed a consensus that the Fed would raise rates next week, as the extent of Katrina's damage appeared less serious than initially thought. Oil prices easing from record highs and expectations that post-Katrina reconstruction would stimulate economic activity had also helped the dollar, he said.

© 1999-2024 Forex EuroClub
All rights reserved