4 July 2002, 09:46 Forex - Dollar higher vs yen in midafternoon Tokyo on short covering
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The dollar was higher against the yen in thin
midafternoon trade, benefiting from dollar short covering, dealers said.
However, they said there was an undercurrent of nervousness in the foreign
exchange market today due to concerns over possible terrorist attacks in the US
to coincide with Independence Day celebrations.
Akihiro Yuuki, dealing section manager at Japan's regional Chiba Bank, said
the recent position adjustments to cover short dollar positions will not last
long, adding the US currency is likely to soon encounter fresh selling pressure.
"US firms will soon announce (second-quarter) earnings. I think the dollar
will react negatively to weak earnings news in the US," Yuuki said, adding he
expects the dollar will continue to trade weaker against other major currencies
for the time being.
"It is still uncertain whether accounting scandals in the US have ended
(after WorldCom)," he added.
Yuuki said the dollar's downside is, however, well-supported as investors
continue to worry about possible intervention by Japanese authorities.
"... If the dollar falls below the 118.30 level against the yen, (it is
highly likely that) the US currency will see a very sharp fall (past that
level). I think Japanese authorities know that level is very important and they
will make every effort to support the dollar at that level," he said.
He sees the dollar/yen moving within the 118.30-120.80 range in the coming
week.
The euro was little changed against other major currencies ahead of the
European Central Bank governing council meeting, although no fresh leads are
expected to emerge from that meeting, dealers said.
Yuuki said he expects the euro will soon rebound following recent euro-long
position adjustments, adding that he expects the euro/dollar to move within the
0.9600-1.0000 usd range in the coming week.
"I think the euro will fall to around the 0.9600 level on position
adjustments," he said.
After that, the euro will rebound again to test parity with the dollar, he
said, predicting that the parity level would be reached, possibly within this
month.
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