4 June 2002, 09:34 Forex - Australian dollar above 0.5700 usd on continued US dollar weakness
SYDNEY (AFX) - The Australian dollar was higher in early morning trade at
above 0.5700 usd on continued US dollar weakness and ahead of local interest
rate and GDP announcements tomorrow, dealers said.
The unit traded between a high of 0.5719 usd and a low of 0.5669 overnight.
A dealer with National Australia Bank said the US dollar strength on Friday
probably had more to do with end of week/month and a holiday weekend in
the UK than any inherent strength.
"Consequently the opening of the new month was associated with more US
dollar selling which enabled the Australian dollar to hit another new high for
the year," he said.
"The Australian dollar has now gained 12.17 pct on the US dollar in 2002 and
with the US dollar still under pressure there is no reason to think that the
gains are even close to finished. The next target is at 0.5790.
"The Australian dollar has not been above this line since the week ending
Aug 29, 1997 so this could provide a natural barrier particularly with the
technicals being in such overbought territory," he said.
"The reality is we continue to favour a weaker US dollar and the target of
0.6000 usd doesn't seem too difficult now," he said.
The dealer said that while the US economy "is not in the state of decay that
has existed in Japan for the past decade its global (influence) is waning and
the US dollar continues to lose its lustre. We continue to believe that this has
further to play out."
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