3 June 2002, 09:46 Forex - Dollar/yen little changed in midafternoon Tokyo on intervention fears
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The dollar/yen was little changed in midafternoon trade,
as investors continued to be cautious due to the threat of intervention by
Japanese authorities, dealers said.
A dealer at a Japanese trust bank said following intervention last Friday by
Japanese authorities in the overseas market, the yen will likely trade in a
weaker tone against the dollar this week.
"I think after the intervention Friday, the dollar/yen has entered a
correction phase. I think the yen will trade in a weaker tone against the
dollar this week," the dealer said, adding that the dollar/yen may reach the
125.00 level this week.
"In addition, exporters are generally absent as sellers of the dollar
against the yen in the beginning of each month," he added.
However, in the long term the yen will continue to trade firmer against the
dollar due to continued interest by foreign investors in Japanese equities, he
said.
"I expect that capital flow from foreign investors into Japanese assets will
continue for the time being. I don't expect that the yen-buying is finished
yet," he said.
Over the long-term the yen will gradually appreciate against the dollar,
which makes it more difficult for Japanese authorities to step into the
market, he said, adding that a positive GDP figure may also support the yen.
"As (Finance Minister Masajuro) Shiokawa has previously said the GDP figure
is not that good, the forex market is (not expecting a strong number). But if
the figure comes in better than expected, it is possible that the yen will
rise," he said.
He said he expects the yen to strengthen by around 0.10 yen against the
dollar if the first-quarter GDP figure comes in at a growth of around 7-8 pct on
an annualised basis. Japan's first-quarter GDP data will be announced June 7.
He said he sees the dollar/yen moving in a range of 123.80-125.20 this week.
The euro was rangebound against other major currencies in cautious trade and
a lack of leads ahead of the European Central Bank governing council meeting on
Thursday, he said.
The dealer said he expects the ECB to hold its key rate unchanged at the
meeting, adding that the euro/dollar will likely move in a range of
0.9250-0.9450 during the week.
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