4 April 2002, 14:53 Forex - Swiss franc higher in midday London trade on safe haven flows
LONDON (AFX) - The Swiss franc edged higher in midday trade,
benefiting from safe haven type flows amid fresh eruptions of violence
in the Middle East, dealers said.
However, the threat of Swiss National Bank intervention kept the
franc's gains in check, they added.
"The Swiss franc has pressed higher following Middle East tensions
and all its associated worries," Steve Pearson, currency strategist at
Halifax said.
But the market is reluctant to test the SNB's resolve especially
after repeated comments from the bank that it is not happy with the
currency's strength, he said.
"Against the euro the 1.46 mark is the tolerance level," he said.
An unlikely beneficiary from the safe haven flows is the Norwegian
krone, which recorded yet another record high against the euro at
7.6223 this morning.
As a major oil exporter, Norway will benefit from higher oil prices
but that does not explain the whole picture, Pearson said.
"The correlation is not perfect," he added
At 6.5 pct Norway has high short-term rates and it maintains a
fairly neutral political stance. It will also not suffer from rising
oil prices.
"It is a safe bet," Pearson said.
Against this backdrop, most major currencies were very much
rangebound. The euro failed to capitalise from a better-than-expected
reading in the euro zone services PMI while sterling hardly reacted to
a rise in the UK equivalent.
No changes are expected in UK or euro zone interest rates when both
rate setting meeting conclude this afternoon.
However, the ECB press conference at 1.30 pm will be closely
watched for comments on rising inflationary pressures.
The yen came off lows, with dollar-yen at the bottom of its recent
range. This signals perhaps that the much talked about repatriation
flows to mark the Japanese fiscal year end were much lighter than had
been expected.
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