26 April 2002, 09:20 Forex - Dollar rangebound in midafternoon Tokyo on uncertainty over Wall St
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The dollar was rangebound in midafternoon
trading due to uncertainty over the trend on Wall Street and in
international capital flow, dealers said.
"Ultimately, the performance on Wall Street will determine how far
the dollar will fall against other currencies, as overseas investors
appear to be continuing to adjust their overweight positions on US
shares," said Takashi Fujieda, foreign exchange dealer at Mizuho Asset
Trust Bank.
"Encouraging a shift of fund allocation to Japan is emerging (on
the) view that Japan is gradually stepping away from a deflationary
downtrend."
The Ministry of Public Management, Home Affairs, Posts and
Telecommunications earlier announced that nationwide consumer prices in
March rose 0.2 pct month-on-month after falling 0.5 pct in February,
while the unemployment rate declined to 5.2 pct in March from 5.3 pct
in the previous month.
While concerns over capital outflow from the US are capping the
dollar's upside, fears over possible action by the Japanese monetary
authority is supporting the unit's downside, dealers said.
Finance Minister Masajuro Shiokawa said this morning the ministry
is closely watching foreign exchange movements with close interest, and
is studying the factors behind the recent sharp rise in the yen.
"But, unless the unwinding of overweight positions on US assets
comes to an end, the dollar is not likely to see a major turnaround,"
Mizuho Asset's Fujieda said.
"Before this happens, the dollar may fall to around the recent low
of 126 yen level."
The euro also held to a narrow trading range due to lack of
follow-through buying, but the unit is expected to maintain its upward
momentum until the capital outflow from the US ends, dealers said.
"Since the market has not regained full confidence in the euro, the
unit is most unlikely to reclaim parity (with the dollar), although it
may reach the 0.92 usd level," Fujieda said.
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