1 April 2002, 09:44 Forex - Dollar top-heavy vs yen in midafternoon Tokyo on exporter demand
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The dollar was top-heavy against the yen in
midafternoon trade after the early Tankan-related yen selling eased in
afternoon trade and exporter demand for the yen emerged, dealers said.
Overall trading was thin and quiet due to the Easter holiday in
many overseas markets, they said.
The large manufacturers' diffusion index in the Tankan survey of
the Bank of Japan came in at minus 38, weaker than the economists'
forecast of a slight improvement.
"Tankan came in worse than expected. But it was not bad enough to
create a surprise to the market here. I think Tankan just confirmed
that the recovery in large manufacturers is slightly slower than
expectations," the dealer said.
The dealer said that he expects that the dollar will be traded in a
weak tone against the yen, after comments by Federal Reserve Bank of
New York President William McDonough last week that the dollar is
"slightly overvalued" on a purchasing power parity basis.
US Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill said that the US government's
strong dollar policy remains unchanged, after comments by McDonough.
"As McDonough is very close to O'Neill, it is highly possible that
the comments are what the Fed really thinks about the dollar," the
dealer said.
He said the market will be nervous about any negative comments
about a strong dollar for the time being, adding that: "I think the
dollar will react instantly to such negative comments."
He added that a weak dollar will also be accelerated by
long-position adjustments by investors.
"Some investors bought the dollar actively as they expected that
foreign investment will be increased from April. I think that it is
possible that investors will turn to adjust their dollar-long
positions," he said.
The euro was little changed against the major currencies amid the
Easter holiday in the UK and Germany, dealers said.
They said investors will continue to be cautious of euro-trading
ahead of two central bank policy board meetings -- that of the European
Central Bank and that of the Bank of England.
The dealer said he does not expect any policy changes by the two
central banks this week.
The dealer said he expects the euro/dollar to move in the range of
0.8800-0.8700 for the time being.
© 1999-2024 Forex EuroClub
All rights reserved