6 March 2002, 15:19  Forex - Euro loses some ground in midday London trade after German orders data

LONDON (AFX) - The euro lost some ground against the dollar in midday trade after disappointing German manufacturing data but the markets remain concerned about the US government's decision to impose steel tariffs, dealers said. "The markets sense that the US is slightly hypocritical about its trade policy," said Russell Jones, global head of foreign exchange research at Lehman Brothers. "The political leader of the free world should not be encouraging protectionism." Yesterday's decision by the Bush administration to impose a levy on imported steel put the dollar under pressure and helped the euro climb up to around the 0.8727 usd mark. However, Ian Stannard, currency strategist at BNP Paribas, warned that the euro is now back on the defensive after German manufacturing orders fell a seasonally adjusted 2.1 pct in January from December 2001. Analysts had only pencilled in a 1 pct decline. "The orders are quite a negative for the euro in that it focuses the market back on the bigger picture in Europe, compared with the US," said Stannard. The decline, he added, offset fairly encouraging German unemployment data. In addition, Stannard said the pensions ruling by the German constitutional court is also hitting euro sentiment as well. The court has ruled that Germany must change the system of pensions taxation away from taxing contributions to taxing benefits, but not until 2005. This creates a potential big shortfall in German revenues, he said. "It highlights the difficult position Germany is in," he said. "It obviously has a big whole in its budget." Nigel Andersen, economist at Royal Bank of Scotland, said it adds greater urgency to corrective measures in the near term to bring the budget back towards balance by 2004. Meanwhile, sterling was little changed, despite Prime Minister Tony Blair's hint overnight that the UK entry rate will be a key issue in the euro entry debate. Most observers think that sterling is overvalued against the euro.

© 1999-2024 Forex EuroClub
All rights reserved