6 February 2002, 08:22 Forex - Dollar higher in midafternoon Tokyo trade on Japan rating concerns
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The dollar was pushed higher against the yen in
midafternoon trade by lingering concerns over the prospects for
Japanese debt ratings, dealers said.
Standard & Poor's said yesterday it has downgraded the ratings of
seven major Japanese banks, including Dai-Ichi Kangyo Bank Ltd, Fuji
Bank Ltd, and Industrial Bank of Japan Ltd, citing the delay in finding
a solution to the sector's bad debt problem.
The rating agency also cut the long-term counterparty credit
ratings on Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp and UFJ Bank Ltd.
Dealers said the dollar was also supported by speculation that S&P
may discuss the prospects of Japan's sovereign debt rating at today's
conference call -- "Japan under new leadership" -- due to begin at
midnight.
However, S&P's media contact Kyota Narimatsu said S&P has never
issued any rating changes during such telephone conferences, but always
issues a statement for the press when announcing rating actions.
"The dollar is not likely to see a major breakthrough to beyond the
135 yen level just on the financial crisis lead, which has largely been
discounted by the market," North Pacific Bank foreign exchange manager
Toshikazu Shimamura said.
"Rather than immediately testing the top-side of the dollar, both
the market and the monetary authority probably want to lock in gains to
below this level until the meeting of G7 finance ministers in Ottawa
this week."
North Pacific's Shimamura said if the dollar accidentally rises to
above the 135 yen level before the G7 meeting, finance ministers may be
forced to include some reference to the rapid depreciation of the yen
at the forthcoming meeting.
"As long as the dollar stays below the 135 yen level, other G7
members may not voice any opposition to the depreciation of the yen,
which, apparently is the only tool left for Japan to overcome
deflation," he added.
However, the dollar is also getting support from speculation that
the Bank of Japan will decide on additional easing of the monetary
policy at its two-day policy meeting, which will begin tomorrow.
Mizuho Securities Co Ltd chief market economist Yasunari Ueno said
he sees the possibility of the BoJ deciding on a hike of some 200 bln
yen in outright purchases of JGBs to 1 trln yen a month, citing the
sustained decline in the share price.
"But as long as a change in directive comes in line with the scope
of the existing policy framework, such change, even if it is decided,
will not have any lasting impact," Shimamura said.
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