27 February 2002, 09:15 Forex - Dollar/yen steady in midafternoon Tokyo ahead of policy outcome
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The dollar was steady against the yen in
midafternoon trade with investors reluctant to take fresh positions
ahead of the announcement of anti-deflation measures later today and
the Bank of Japan's policy board meeting tomorrow, dealers said.
They said the dollar held its firm tone on expectations that Fed
chairman Alan Greenspan will make positive comments about the US
economy during his Humphrey-Hawkins testimony later today.
"If we consider recent comments by officials, it seems that the
government will not include an immediate capital injection into banks
among the (anti-deflation) measures. It is possible that the yen will
be sold actively (against the dollar) after the outcome," a dealer with
a local Japanese bank said.
State Minister for Economic and Fiscal Policy Heizo Takenaka said
yesterday the government will decide whether to inject public funds
into banks after the release of special inspections by the Financial
Services Agency, expected by the end of March.
In addition to the lack of optimism towards the anti-deflation
measures, investors are also not expecting anything major from the
BoJ's meeting tomorrow, dealers said.
Cabinet Secretary Yasuo Fukuda said he believes the Bank of Japan
is unlikely to decide on a further monetary easing at its policy board
meeting tomorrow, though he suggested the bank may act in a month's
time.
Meanwhile, Finance Minister Masajuro Shiokawa said BoJ governor
Masaru Hayami has offered a commitment to the government to consider
further monetary easing at tomorrow's policy board meeting.
The Nihon Keizai Shimbun reported this morning that BoJ policy
board members are considering a possible easing of measures at their
meeting tomorrow, which may be done through increased outright
purchases of government bonds to around 1 trln yen a month from the
current 800 bln.
The Japanese bank dealer said some investors expect the BoJ will
decide to cut its discount rate, but at the same time added that such a
move would have only a limited impact on the forex market.
"Market participants have been expecting outright purchases of
government bonds to be increased to around 1 trln yen eventually. In
addition, the current discount rate is already very low at 0.1 pct. I
think most of the measures which the BoJ can take now are very
limited," he said.
He added that a further strengthening in the dollar will encounter
strong resistance around the 135.00 yen level due to expected oral
intervention by Japan economic and finance authorities.
He sees the dollar/yen moving within the 133.50-135.50 range in the
week ahead.
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