27 February 2002, 08:22 Forex - Dollar eases in technical trade late morning Tokyo; waiting for policy
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The dollar/yen eased in technical trade ahead of
policy moves by the Japanese government and central bank, and
encouraged by strength in Japanese equities, dealers said.
The dollar fell back after failing to break 135 yen overnight as an
option expiry spurred speculative buying of the US currency, dealers
said, adding an investor had previously been protecting the 135 yen
level ahead of the expiry.
"This range-option expired yesterday. That was the reason
speculators wanted to test the upside," UFJ Bank foreign exchange vice
president Satoshi Tate said.
"But there are still people looking for a range of 130-135 yen.
Exporters are selling dollar/yen, and fund managers. The dollar was
close to 135 yen so people started to sell," he added.
"The Nikkei's also higher but, overall, people are saying the
dollar/yen's move was caused by speculators accumulating positions
ahead of ... tomorrow's BoJ meeting, so if there's nothing special,
there are people who will sell."
Bank of Japan governor Masaru Hayami offered a commitment to the
government to consider further monetary easing at the bank's policy
board meeting tomorrow despite the likely lack of new reform measures.
"Maybe the BoJ will offer something special this time," Tate said,
but added that the market expects the government and the central bank
eventually to be forced into a reflationary policy that will weaken the
currency.
Investors have become increasingly sceptical about the possibility
of any new policies from the Japanese government when it releases its
latest anti-deflation package tonight.
Minister of Financial Affairs Hakuo Yanagisawa said this morning
that an unconsidered capital injection into major banks -- a key hope
for the market -- will weaken momentum for reform at the banks and at
indebted companies.
Meanwhile, political pressure on the bank, with no reciprocal offer
of reform by the government, has been viewed negatively by the market
previously, hurting government bond prices.
"Most people think that the only thing that Japan can do is take a
reflationary policy so many think the dollar will regain the upside
sooner or later, but not now," Tate said.
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