18 February 2002, 14:51 Forex - Major currencies rangebound midday as Bush trip fails to excite
LONDON (AFX) - Major currencies remained rangebound in quiet late
morning trade with activity subdued by a national holiday in the US, a
dearth of data and a lack of news from President George W Bush's visit
to Japan, dealers said.
Little excitement was generated by the outcome of talks between
Bush and Japanese Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi, though a Bush gaffe
did provide a short-lived boost to the dollar. Bush said he had
discussed "devaluation" with Koizumi when he meant to say "deflation".
"It was a non-event," said Paul Mackel, currency strategist at
Dresdner Kleinwort Wasserstein. "Everyone's paying attention but
dollar/yen will have to wait until after the meeting for renewed
repatriation flows and anti-deflation measures."
BNP Paribas' chief currency strategist Hans Redeker said dollar/yen
could fall back over the next four to six weeks on repatriation flows
back to Japan.
After that, he reckons that there will then be a strong upturn to
around the 145-150 yen mark.
"The only thing holding dollar/yen back is repatriation," he said.
Euro/dollar was trading in a tight range as well.
According to Bear Stearns' currency economist Steve Barrow, "the
sum total of possible market-moving events today" involves speeches
from the European Central Bank's Guy Quaden and Ernst Welteke.
"We expect them to pursue the same line, namely that rates are at
appropriate levels right now and that the euro has the potential to
appreciate," said Barrow.
Rob Hayward, currency strategist at ABN Amro, said there's some
room for euro appreciation over the next few days following last
Friday's IMM data.
"These showed that euro positions are fairly flat," he said.
"There's some scope to build some euro long positions."
Meanwhile, sterling shed some of the gains garnered last week, but
ABN Amro's Hayward said a bout of selling in a thin market was
exaggerating the moves.
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