12 February 2002, 09:31 Japan Cabinet says too early to predict rebound in capex
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The Cabinet Office said it is premature to
predict an end to the falling trend of capital expenditure despite the
narrowing of the decline in the fourth quarter and a projected
improvement in economic confidence.
Earlier, the office said its survey of domestic firms showed a
decline in fourth quarter to December capex of 1.7 pct
quarter-on-quarter, compared with a fall of 4.1 pct the previous
quarter.
However, fourth quarter capex was seen down 7.1 pct year-on-year,
compared with a fall of 3.7 pct the previous quarter.
Meanwhile, the index of confidence in economic conditions reached
minus 60 in the December quarter, compared with minus 61 the previous
quarter, and a forecast of minus 41 in the first quarter and minus 24
in the second quarter.
"The overall index of confidence shows signs of some improvement
but the trend in capex continues to worsen," an official said, adding
that the outlook for the first half of the fiscal year is expected to
continue to be weak.
The electric machinery, services and real estate industries
contributed the most to the continued negative reading of overall
capital expenditure.
However, the index of confidence in the electric machinery industry
showed signs of improvement, reaching minus 30 in the first quarter and
minus 9 the following quarter, compared with minus 55 in the fourth
quarter last year.
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