9 January 2002, 08:24 Forex - Dollar above 133 yen in midmorning Tokyo; investors target 135 yen
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The dollar/yen held its strong tone, breaching
the 133 level, with corrective dips in the US unit remaining shallow
due to substantial buying by laggard investors, dealers said.
The Japanese government has said the yen's fall is a long-term
downward correction, while officials from Asian countries and the US
have been silent on any concerns they may have over a competitive
devaluation.
Investors had been targeting technical positions at the 133 yen
level -- after the dollar reached 132.90 in late New York trade -- and
will be next focused on the 135 yen level, dealers said.
Standard and Poor's MMS managing analyst Hideki Naito said the
sharp move that started yesterday is due to an absence of major
profit-taking on earlier dollar gains, suggesting plenty of latent
buying interest.
"At the start of this week, everyone thought the dollar/yen would
have deeper corrective dips ... but it failed to push below 130 yen,"
Naito said.
"The weakening of the yen started in the beginning of December or
late November so there are still laggard buyers appearing on any dips.
Deeper corrective dips look difficult," he said.
Domestic investors, such as exporters and portfolio managers, are
trying to catch up with the market, buying the dollar any time it dips
to cheaper levels because they expect the US currency to continue
firmer.
Meanwhile, the government is quietly encouraging the yen to weaken.
"Non-Japanese accounts had to take more (dollar)-long positions and
Japanese investors joined the market to unwind excessive hedging,"
Naito said.
"As long as Japanese officials take the same line -- that the yen's
fall is in line with bearish fundamentals -- corrective selling will be
unlikely."
Naito said that once the 133 yen level has been clearly breached,
along with "option strikes and knock out barriers", the next target
will be 135 yen.
Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi has scheduled visits to Southeast
Asian nations this week and the market had expected the administration
to be wary of being seen as pushing the yen lower in the face of
opposition in the region.
However, these hopes were upset by vice minister for international
affairs Haruhiko Kuroda, who said the yen is simply correcting its
overvaluation, while the key regional players have kept criticism to a
minimum.
"The only concern is our neighbours -- Korea and China -- but this
year we have not heard anything from them," Naito said.
The euro/dollar continued to weaken following the European
currency's failure to benefit, as some had hoped, from the introduction
of euro notes and coins.
"Maybe an 88-91 cent range can be a wide trading range," Naito
said.
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