25 January 2002, 11:47 Italian unadjusted retail sales in November rose 1.5% on the year after a 2.2% increase in October
according to figures released Friday by the national statistics institute ISTAT.
ISTAT's year-on-year series is measured in nominal value terms and
therefore is not adjusted for rises in consumer prices which, according
to the main domestic index (NIC), rose 2.4% year-on-year in November.
ISTAT's retail sales data is not closely watched by analysts
because, unlike new car registration data, they show no correlation with
consumer spending as published in quarterly GDP statistics.
"November's result is not particularly brilliant," an ISTAT
spokesman said, observing that the 1.5% increase was "the third lowest
so far in 2001," and the lowest result of they year was just two months
before (+0.4%) in September.
The statistics institute's recently introduced seasonally adjusted
month-on-month index was up 0.1% in November after a 0.3% rise in
October.
ISTAT officials tend to place more emphasis on the year-on-year
series in presenting the data.
ISTAT confirmed that from January 2002's data (to be released March
26) the index is to be re-based, with a 2000 base year to replace the
current 1995 base year.
An ISTAT official told Market News International Thursday that the
new index will entail a considerably higher weighting for large retail
outlets, which will make up some 23% of the index instead of 16% under
the current index.
The official said that simulations done using the new index
produced higher sales' growth than under the current index. The current
outdated index almost certainly under-estimates true sales growth, he
said.
November had 24.7 average opening days, 0.1 less than November
2000, ISTAT said. //MarketNews
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