7 December 2001, 10:00 Forex - Yen weaker in midafternoon Tokyo on foreign bond-purchase speculation
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The yen was weaker in midafternoon on
speculation over possible purchases of foreign bonds by Japan,
providing a trigger for a technical push higher for the dollar/yen,
dealers said.
Dresdner Bank head of foreign exchange Marito Ueda said the dollar
rose from late morning trade on increased speculation that the Bank of
Japan may buy foreign bonds to help ease monetary policy and weaken the
yen.
Finance Minister Masajuro Shiokawa said at a regular briefing this
morning that the government could possibly buy any government bonds
that are issued by the US to fund its 'war against terrorism'.
Even though the supposed US 'war-bonds' are hypothetical, with no
specific plans for such an issue, the fact that Shiokawa says he would
consider the possibility is significant in itself, dealers said.
"People are thinking about foreign-currency bond purchases by
Japan, so they could find no reason to buy the yen," Ueda said, adding
that the comments saw a breach of resistance at 124.30-50 yen and
provided a new target of 125.30 yen.
The market saw almost no reaction to Japan's GDP data released this
morning, which came in largely in line with expectations.
Third quarter to September GDP fell 0.5 pct from the June quarter,
when the revised quarter-on-quarter fall was 1.2 pct, for an annualised
decline of 2.2 pct, the Cabinet Office said.
"The GDP was still within expectations," Dresdner's Ueda said, even
though the figures were poor, so the impact was limited.
Economists had forecast a third quarter decline in GDP of up to 1.0
pct over the previous quarter.
However, several had upgraded their estimates by as much as 0.5
percentage points after strong company investment data from the
Ministry of Finance this week, leaving the actual result largely in
line with expectations.
UBS Warburg chief economist Hiromichi Shirakawa believes the market
may have underestimated how weak the GDP was because of the second
quarter revision.
"Consumption will remain weak. On the other hand private capital
expenditure rose in the third quarter, supported by software spending,
but this will start to deteriorate in the fourth quarter," he said.
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