7 December 2001, 09:57 Forex - Major currencies unmoved in midmorning Tokyo after Japan Q3 GDP data
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - Major currencies were unmoved in midmorning
after the release of Japan's third quarter GDP figures, which were
largely in line with market expectations, dealers said.
At 9:45 am, the yen was trading at 124.59 to the dollar, the same
level seen just before the announcement, and at 111.33 against the
euro, from 111.35.
Third quarter GDP fell 0.5 pct from the June quarter, when the
revised quarter-on-quarter fall was 1.2 pct, the Cabinet Office said.
June quarter GDP was previously reported as a fall of 0.7 pct.
Third quarter GDP fell an annualised 2.2 pct.
Economists had forecast a third quarter decline in GDP of up to 1.0
pct over the previous quarter.
However, several upgraded their estimates by as much as 0.5
percentage points after strong company investment data from the
Ministry of Finance this week, leaving the actual result largely in
line with expectations.
Sanwa Bank vice president of foreign exchange Satoshi Tate said the
currency market was unmoved by the release of Japan's third quarter GDP
numbers.
"The year-on-year figure was a little bit worse than expected but
overall it was within the range," he said, noting that the yen had
failed to gain from any short-covering after the release, as some had
expected.
Kenneth Landon, senior currency strategist at Deutsche Bank, said
the market reaction was remarkable only in what it did not do.
"Nothing happened, nothing at all," he said. "The GDP numbers came
out exactly as the market expected. We saw no reaction at all in the
currency market. It was basically already priced in. It was as bad as
expected."
Sanwa's Tate said the yen declined overnight in London trade,
recovering ahead of the release of the GDP, on institutional selling.
"The yen was weak as State Street and Japanese funds bought dollar
towards the London fix. These people are still interested in selling
yen," he said but added that the 125 yen looks well protected for now.
"We see some knock out position at 125 yen, with talk that
someone's protecting it. I don't know if it's true but it's
understandable," he said.
"Generally, it's before Christmas and the end of the year so people
are quite conservative," he added.
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