14 December 2001, 13:03 Takenaka sees yr to March 2003 GDP growth better than private sector forecasts
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - State Minister for Economic and Fiscal Policy
Heizo Takenaka said he believes GDP growth in the year to March 2003
will be better than existing forecasts by private-sector institutions.
"The figures of private institutions have not included the impact
from the second supplementary budget," Takenaka told a regular
briefing, adding that the government's forecast will assume some signs
of recovery.
The US economy is expected to show strong economic recovery in the
second half of next year and this will contribute to the improvement in
Japan.
"I don't think the US will see a V-shaped recovery but a scenario
that I maintain is that the US economy will show a bullish rebound in
the second half of next year," Takenaka said.
This morning's Nihon Keizai newspaper said the government will set
a year to March 2003 GDP forecast of zero growth and nominal GDP of
minus 0.9 pct.
Several newspapers yesterday reported that the Cabinet Office was
finalising a figure of minus 0.1 pct.
Takenaka said he wants to attend the next Bank of Japan policy
meeting to explain that the government's economic reform plans are
proceeding and that the central bank and the administration must
consider how to help the recovery.
"I would like the BoJ to understand the need for further discussion
between the government and central bank on the mid-term economic
recovery."
Takenaka added that he has not been asked by Prime Minister
Junichiro Koizumi to increase taxes, such as consumption tax, as part
of a plan to restructure the tax system.
"I was asked by the prime minister to change the structure of
taxation. We have no plan to increase taxes amid the current weak
economic conditions."
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