13 December 2001, 12:22 Forex - Euro rangebound in early London trade as market quiets down
LONDON (AFX) - The euro was little changed and range-bound in early
London trade with market activity quietening down as Christmas
approaches, dealers said.
"Things are quiet and the euro's been stuck in the 0.89-090 range
for some time now," Jeremy Hawkins, chief economist Europe at Bank of
America said.
"The numbers out in the US later on (US Nov retail sales), may
however have some effect," he added.
Michael Klawitter, a currency strategist at West LB said: "On the
back of the dollar weakness, euro-dollar has risen to its highest level
in one month. The risks are currently to the upside and a break of the
0.90 level is on the cards."
"However, we do not expect euro-dollar to emerge on a clear upward
trend similar to Dec 2000 when euro-dollar rallied in December from
0.87 to 0.94. This morning's release of German Oct retail sales was
once again a reminder of the fact that the euro zone data itself is
currently offering little support to the currency," he added.
Hawkins said that the yen appears to be the "whipping boy" at the
moment and he sees more upside to euro-yen and sterling-yen.
Sterling was slightly weaker in early trade ahead of UK retail
sales data due out later this morning.
"The retail sales data will emphasize the relative outperformance
of the UK," Hawkins at Bank of America said.
Klawitter said he doubted that sterling would benefit much from the
retail sales data.
"Sterling received hardly any support versus the euro from
yesterday's stronger-than-expected labour market report as the surge in
euro-dollar also lifted euro-sterling via the cross. Consequently, with
the risk in euro-dollar remaining to the upside, even with the risks in
today's UK retail sales once again being to the upside, sterling is
unlikely to benefit much."
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