11 December 2001, 08:33 Forex - Dollar/yen eases in late morning Tokyo on profit-taking; upward bias
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The dollar eased against the yen in late morning
on profit-taking but still with a bias to the dollar's upside due to
economic disparities and possible more radical monetary easing by the
Bank of Japan, dealers said.
Japanese officials failed to suggest any verbal restraint on the
dollar's rapid rise but rather further hinted at the possibility of
foreign bond purchases by the central bank that would weaken the yen
more, they noted.
ABN Amro foreign exchange manager Toshihiko Masaki said the dollar
has seen some quick profit-taking this morning with short-term
investors nervous due to the over-extended dollar-long positions ahead
of the year-end.
"I think it's just a question of time before the 126.84 yen high
for the year is breached, but at the same time the market position in
dollars is pretty overbought," Masaki said. "The market will be worried
about some profit-taking."
However, he noted that despite this morning's sell off, the bias
remains to the dollar's upside as short- and long-term investors seek
to buy the US unit.
"The price action shows that the market's still trying to buy on
dips so unless we see a 3 yen correction to the 123 yen level,
long-term and medium-term players will not liquidate their positions,"
he said.
"After a small correction of 1.5 or 2 yen, the dollar will head
higher, backed by yen-selling factors ... most importantly that
authorities' are supporting these moves," Masaki said.
"Some had expected comments aimed at slowing the rise."
State Minister for Economic and Fiscal Policy Heizo Takenaka said
this morning that the dollar's strength is based on expectations for
positive economic fundamentals in the US.
He added that he agrees that the US economy will recover in the
short-term.
Meanwhile, Takenaka said the BoJ should consider introducing more
radical monetary policy, adding that it may be possible for the bank to
buy foreign bonds to further ease monetary conditions. The move would
also weaken the yen.
"I am not in favour of introducing bias into the forex market --
though all monetary policies influence the market somewhat -- but I
think it is possible to purchase foreign government bonds without
providing such a bias," he said.
"There is merit and demerit in inflation targeting," Takenaka
added, saying: "It is necessary to take another step in considering the
matter. We need to start open discussions right now."
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