1 November 2001, 15:08 Forex - Dollar falls in midday London trade as market braces for US NAPM data
LONDON (AFX) - The dollar was lower across the board in midday
trade as the market braced for a weak reading in the US National
Association of Purchasing Managers' index later this afternoon, dealers
said.
Tomorrow's US labour market report is also expected to show
weakness, possibly denting the dollar further.
With most of Europe closed for All Saints Day, focus is firmly on
developments in the US, especially after yesterday's
better-than-expected third-quarter GDP numbers and the relatively
encouraging Chicago purchasing managers' index.
But Steve Pearson, head currency strategist at Halifax said the
US's run of good fortune is unlikely to go on indefinitely.
"The market is nervous ahead of the NAPM and labour market data.
Players are going short," he said, adding that there is a natural
reluctance to take positions ahead of the numbers.
Correspondingly the yen, the euro and sterling all rose against the
dollar.
Sterling shrugged off a dismal Confederation of British Industry
distributive trades report which recorded the sharpest fall in volume
of sales in the survey's 18 year history to surge past teh 1.46 usd
mark in convincing fashion.
Taken together with the fall in yesterday's GfK consumer confidence
survey, there is increasing indication that consumer demand is starting
to flag, Pearson said.
But the news was not all bad, with the UK purchasing managers'
index coming in a shade higher than in the previous month. The main
index rose to 46.7 in Oct from 46.5 in Sept.
Arguably, the reading was more flat than anything but a lot better
than what many had expected, Pearson said.
Elsewhere, the Canadian dollar continued to decline amid concerns
that there will be a major slowdown in its exports to the US. The
rationale is that countries running current account account surpluses
are the most vulnerable to recession in the US. In Canada's case, the
problem is magnified as the US is its biggest export market, Pearson
said.
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