9 October 2001, 09:20 Forex - Dollar lower in midafternoon on concerns over Afghanistan situation
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The dollar was slightly lower against other
major currencies due to uncertainties over the prospect of military
operations in Afghanistan, dealers said.
Investors, in particular, were becoming increasingly wary of
economic risks related to the attacks in Afghanistan, they said.
Daiwa Institute of Research economist Junichi Makino said that even
if the military operation lasts two years, it will cut US GDP may by a
total of 1.5 percentage points in such period.
"So, we need to continue to pay close attention to any developments
in Afghanistan," Nomura Trust and Banking Co Ltd foreign exchange
deputy manager Teruhisa Moriyasu said.
The dollar, however, will continue to see firm downside
support,especially against the yen on fears over possible intervention
by the Japanese authorities, dealers said.
Finance Minister Masajuro Shiokawa said the government will
intervene in the foreign exchange market if necessary, based on its own
judgement rather than as part of a concerted international action.
"There is the generally-agreed view that intervention will be
carried out before the dollar reaches the 118.50 yen level," Moriyasu
said.
The decline in the local equity market and the uncertainty over the
impact of increased political tension in central Asia on the Japanese
economy also supported the downside of the dollar, dealers said.
DIR's Makino said that the Sept 11 terrorist attacks and the
subsequent air strikes in Afghanistan by the US and its allies, even if
resolved within one year, may cause Japanese domestic demand to fall by
some 2 trln yen in the year to March 2003.
The euro was firmer against the dollar thanks to the continued
flight-to-safety asset flow following the launch of air strikes in
Afghanistan, dealers said.
"It all depends on the Afghan situation, but the euro, under
present circumstances, may test the 0.9350 usd level," Moriyasu said.
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