5 October 2001, 09:19 Forex - Dollar rangebound in midafternoon Tokyo ahead of US jobs data
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The dollar traded in a tight midafternoon range,
with investors sidelined ahead of the release later today of the US
non-farm payroll data, dealers said.
Economists forecast a sharp fall in US September total nonfarm
payroll employment due to the adverse impact of the Sept 11 terrorist
attacks.
"If the data shows a much-worse-than-expected deterioration in the
labour market, then concerns over the impact of the terrorist attacks
on the US economy will resurface and the dollar will be sold back once
again," North Pacific Bank foreign exchange manager Toshikazu Shimamura
said.
Investors refrained from taking positions aggressively also due to
caution over the weekend meeting of the G7 finance ministers and
central bank governors, dealers said.
They said, Finance Minister Masajuro Shiokawa, speaking ahead of
his visit to Washington for the G7 meeting, helped affirm these
expectations when he said Japan's economic policy will not be on the
agenda, along with the possibility of joint intervention in the foreign
exchange market.
"We will act in the forex market based on our own judgement, not in
cooperation with other countries," Shiokawa said.
The Nihon Keizai Shimbun reported earlier that Japanese delegates
will call on their G7 partners to join Japan's efforts to halt the
appreciation of the yen and will stress the need to maintain foreign
exchange levels that are suitable to the economic fundamentals of each
country.
North Pacific's Shimamura said: "We also need to be alert to the
prospect of a US military action against Afghanistan, with the
speculation suggesting that it may be launched as early as next week."
"Given these economic and political events ahead, investors will
continue to see difficulties in driving the dollar/yen sector out of
the present trading range."
The euro was also rangebound ahead of the US employment data, but
the currency is expected to maintain its underlying firmness on the
back of economic and political factors, dealers said.
"If the US military action is launched and if the mission is
prolonged, the euro may test the 0.95 usd level," Shimamura said.
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