31 October 2001, 12:02 Dollar eases against yen, euro ahead of U.S. GDP release
TOKYO, Oct. 31 (Kyodo) - By: Yoshino Matsui The U.S. dollar
eased against the yen and the euro in Tokyo on Wednesday from its
levels late Tuesday in New York as players braced for the release
of weak U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) data later in the day.
At 5 p.m., the dollar was quoted at 121.82-85 yen compared with
Tuesday's 5 p.m. quotes of 121.90-122.00 yen in New York and
121.80-82 yen in Tokyo.
During the day, the dollar moved between 121.72 yen and 122.22
yen, trading most frequently at 121.82 yen.
The euro stood at $0.9052-9055 and 110.29-33 yen at 5 p.m.
compared with $0.9040-9050 and 110.30-40 yen at 5 p.m. Tuesday in
New York.
The U.S. currency weakened somewhat against the yen and the euro
during the Tokyo trading day as players held their breath ahead of
the release of the U.S. GDP figure for the July-September quarter
of this year, due out Wednesday night Japan time.
The eyes of financial markets worldwide are fixed on the U.S.
economic growth, as the September terrorist attacks in New York and
Washington and the subsequent military campaign in Afghanistan have
raised concerns that the world's largest economy might have slipped
into recession.
"The market is in the process of factoring in negative U.S.
economic figures, including the GDP, by selling the dollar," said
Daisuke Uno, a chief market analyst at Sumitomo Mitsui Banking
Corp.
Market players now believe the health of the U.S. economy in
October was worse than anticipated, and expect to see poor figures
for October job data and other indicators to be released later this
week, he said.
U.S. GDP is widely expected to show a negative reading.
"The dollar may rise if the GDP is around minus 1%, which is a
mean figure for market expectations, because some people expect an
economic contraction on a much wider scale," said Hideyuki
Tsukamoto, a foreign exchange manager at Fuji Bank.
Uno agreed with the view and said that the dollar is unlikely to
suffer any severe selling that would push it below 121 yen from the
GDP release unless the figure is deemed "disastrous."
In the afternoon, the Japanese government released more gloomy
economic data in the wake of the announcement of a record high
jobless rate in the previous day, with the infrastructure ministry
saying that housing starts fell 2.9% in September from a year
earlier.
The ministry also said the volume of orders won by the nation's
50 leading general contractors tumbled 10.5% in September from a
year before.
While both housing starts and the volume of construction orders
fell for the first time in three months, none of these data led to
unloading of the yen, marking a similar market reaction to the
announcement Tuesday of the 5.3% unemployment rate, which was
described by the labor minister as "an emergency."
"The market has already factored in the negative Japanese
figures. Everybody knows that the Japanese economy is weak," said
Fuji Bank's Tsukamoto.
He said he will carefully monitor how the dollar will move in
New York following the GDP release as he believes the direction can
give a clue for the U.S. currency's trend until the end of this
year.
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