25 October 2001, 10:04 ECB Weighs Another Rate Cut
FRANKFURT, Germany (AP) - With European leaders under pressure
from sluggish growth, policy-makers at the continent's central bank
gather Thursday to decide whether to give them a break with another
interest rate reduction.
With inflation falling markedly, the ECB is running out of
reasons to stick to a cautious approach that has seen it ease rates
only three times this year. The U.S. Federal Reserve has made nine
reductions to stimulate the economy there.
Economists cast a worried eye also on the euro, which has
slipped back below dlrs 0.90 on concern at the region's stagnant
economy.
But European Central Bank President Wim Duisenberg last week
talked leaders including Germany's Gerhard Schroeder and Jacques
Chirac of France into watering down a call for the bank to move
swiftly.
"If we do have room to maneuver, there is very little," he
said after the bank's last meeting on Oct. 11 which left its
benchmark rate unchanged at 3.75 percent.
The bank had dropped the rate by a half percentage point Sept.
17 in tandem with the Fed to restore confidence badly shaken by the
terror attacks in the United States.
Economists are evenly divided on what the bank will do Thursday.
A survey of 26 economists by Dow Jones Newswires showed that 12
predicted a cut now, while two more said the chances were 50-50.
Interest rate cuts stimulate the economy by making it easier for
businesses to borrow and expand. Increased demand for European
goods also can strengthen the euro. But lower rates can also fuel
inflation - enemy number one at the ECB.
Annual inflation in the 12 countries using the euro common
currency fell to 2.5 percent in September from 2.7 percent.
Duisenberg says it should fall below the 2 percent ceiling targeted
by the ECB early next year.
EU leaders dropped a call for "further decisive action" after
meeting with Duisenberg in Belgium on Friday. Their final statement
said only that "a further improvement in inflation prospects would
provide room for maneuver for monetary policy."
Germany last week provided two further pieces of depressing
economic news that helped stimulate calls for rate cuts. Finance
minister Hans Eichel said Europe's biggest economy would expand by
only 0.75 percent this year, and rebound only slightly in 2002.
Meanwhile, a closely watched survey showed business sentiment in
September suffering its biggest drop in 28 years.
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