24 October 2001, 12:01 Forex - Major currencies rangebound in early London trade
LONDON (AFX) - Major currencies were stuck in narrow ranges against
each other in early trade with the dollar looking well underpinned
ahead of the Fed's beige book, due to be released late this afternoon,
dealers said.
The market was also increasingly uncertain whether the European
Central Bank will indeed cut rates at its meeting on Thursday, keeping
a check on any gain the euro may have otherwise made.
In turn, the threat of bio-terrorism in the US kept the dollar from
rising steadily.
" But it looks like there is cope for the dollar to advance," Razia
Khan, economist at Standard Chartered said.
The main focus for the day will be the Beige book. Lately there has
been some hope that the Fed's aggressive rate cuts will lead the US to
perform better than most of Europe and Japan. There are some
expectations that the Beige book will reflect this, she added.
In the meanwhile, hopes for an ECB rate cut receded when German and
Italian inflation data came in slightly stronger than expected.
The first German state to release October inflation data,
Baden-Wuerttemberg, saw the October CPI fall 0.2 pct on the month
compared to consensus expectations of a 0.3 pct decline. The drop
corresponds with the German annual inflation rate staying at 2.1 pct, a
Credit Suisse First Boston report said.
Preliminary Italian CPIs were also stronger than may have been
hoped, as a consequence of stronger food prices.
These data along with ECB head Wim Duisenberg's comments over the
weekend, appears to indicate that the bank will not cut rates at its
meeting today, CSFB added.
But industrial confidence in Italy was very weak, emphasising what
the German Ifo survey had indicated.
Sterling was little changed amid the lack of individual impetus to
move it higher. The UK Confederation of British Industry's quarterly
industrial trends survey due out at 11 am, may provide direction but it
is likely to be a negative lead, Khan at Standard Chartered said.
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