2 October 2001, 09:16 Forex - Major currencies little changed in midafternoon Tokyo ahead of FOMC
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - Major currencies were little changed in
midafternoon Tokyo as investors were reluctant to take any fresh
positions ahead of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting scheduled
for later today, dealers said.
Dealers said that the majority of market participants are currently
expecting a 25 basis points rate cut today, with some players hoping
for a 50 basis points cut.
Daiwa Bank customer dealer Nobuki Kawashima said that he expects
that the dollar would fall against the yen if the FOMC decided to cut
its rate by 25 basis points.
"If the FOMC decides to cut 50 basis points, I expect the dollar
will rise against the yen. But, if the rate cut is only 25 basis
points, I think the dollar will be sold against the yen as a 25 basis
point rate cut is widely expected," he said.
However, he added that the dollar's downside will be supported
firmly at around the 119.50 level against the yen on intervention
concerns.
"Market participants are still cautions about intervention. They
want to see if the Japanese authorities will continue to intervene,"
after closing the September account, he said.
Kawashima said that, despite a series of recent interventions by
Japanese authorities, dollar-weak sentiment against the yen has not
been changed.
"The dollar was also firm against the yen after
stronger-than-expected NAPM data overnight. But, non-farm payroll data
is still to come. Dollar-weak sentiment against the yen has not yet
been changed," he said, adding that the dollar/yen will move in the
range of 116.50-121.00 against the yen in short-term.
US non-farm payroll data is expected to be out on Friday.
Kawashima added that the dollar will also encounter selling
pressure against the yen if the US takes retaliatory action against
Afghanistan.
"Investors are worrying that any war will be a long-term one," he
added.
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