12 October 2001, 16:26 'Most Effective' Policy Still Made Behind Closed Doors :Greenspan
By Chris Middleton
WASHINGTON (MktNews) - Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said
Thursday the conduct of monetary policy has not been impeded by the
greater transparency in Fed actions of recent years and will continue to
evolve in the direction of more openness.
In a speech via satellite to participants in an economic policy
conference sponsored by the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, Greenspan
said it has always been difficult to balance transparency and monetary
policy implementation, but that moving toward less secrecy is ultimately
more effective.
"Simply put, financial markets work more efficiently when their
participants do not have to waste effort inferring the stance of
monetary policy from diffuse signals generated in the day-to-day
implementation of policy," the Fed chairman said, in prepared remarks.
"And being clear about that stance has not constrained our ability
to adjust the stance of monetary policy in either direction," he said.
But he acknowledged that a certain amount of privacy is needed for
Fed decisionmakers to effectively debate and carry out policy.
"The undeniable, though regrettable, fact is that the most
effective policymaking is done outside the immediate glare of the
press," Greenspan said.
Nevertheless, this is not a justification of the levels of Fed
secrecy of the past, Greenspan noted. Recent changes in Fed disclosure
policy have been an improvement and it will continue to change in the
future, he said.
"In recent years, we have achieved a far better balance, in my
judgment, between transparency and effective monetary policy
implementation than we thought appropriate in the past," Greenspan said.
"We have gotten to our present degree of transparency through an
incremental process, and our disclosure policy will continue to evolve,"
he added.
Greenspan also focused on the key role played by price measures in
the current determination of Fed policy. With the Fed geared toward
keeping inflation in check, new measures will be critical down the road.
"Doubtless, we will develop new techniques of price measurement to
unearth those units as the years go on. It is crucial that we do, for
inflation can destabilize an economy even if faulty price indexes fail
to reveal it," Greenspan said.
Measuring price stability accurately has become "increasingly more
difficult", in particular pinning down "the notion of what constitutes a
stable general price level."
Still, he does not favor a move to inflation targeting like some
other central banks, including the European Central Bank, have done.
"For all these conceptual uncertainties and measurement problems, a
specific numerical inflation target would represent an unhelpful and
false precision," he said.
"Rather, price stability is best thought of as an environment in
which inflation is so low and stable over time that it does not
materially enter into the decisions of households and firms."
Greenspan made no immediate recommendations for changing price
measurement, noting, "for the time being, our conventional measures of
the overall price level will remain useful."
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