7 September 2001, 12:49 Japan Q2 GDP in line, to raise pressure on BoJ, govt for action - BNP analyst
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - BNP Paribas chief economist Ryutaro Kono said
this morning's second quarter GDP was in line but added that it will
increase pressure on the Bank of Japan and the government to stimulate
the economy.
"It was very close to our expectations," he said
"Based on this figure, the year's economic growth must be negative,
so political pressure will build on the Bank of Japan and the
government to form a stimulus package," he said, adding that he sees a
0.6 pct contraction for 2001.
"We believe the economy will bottom out in the fourth quarter (to
March 2002) but the government has decided to cut expenditure
especially on public works ... so next year we will see minus growth,"
he said.
Kono said the space for a sizable supplementary budget is "very
very limited", adding: "I don't think they need a supplementary budget;
it is very bad policy because public money always goes to inefficient
spending.
"New job creation is good but in this economic environment how
should we do that?", he said.
"In the short-term, we can't have sustained growth based on public
spending."
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