3 September 2001, 10:51 Asia FX Review: Dlr/yen heavy despite fears over BOJ intervention
By Yumi Kuramitsu
Tokyo, Sept. 3 (BridgeNews) - The U.S. dollar remained heavy against the
yen in quiet Asian trade Monday, but the market was reluctant to test the
further downside amid fears of possible Bank of Japan intervention. Euro/yen
selling weighed on the dollar/yen, but both pairs were confined to narrow
trading ranges as trading was still thin due to Monday's Labor Day holiday in
North America.
Prior to the Tokyo open and through early Tokyo trading, dollar/yen saw a
bounce from 118.78 to 119.35 on short covering after Japanese Finance Minister
Masajuro Shiokawa told NHK television he plans to seek U.S. cooperation in
stemming yen's strength when he meets U.S. Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill at
the APEC meeting this weekend.
However, the pair's rise was capped by euro/yen selling and technical
factors. Dealers were also wary of repatriation selling before the close of
Japanese financial mid-year on September 30.
Dollar/yen fell further in the afternoon trade to 118.84, led by euro/yen
selling from U.S. players and Japanese investors. The cross fell from around
108.25 to 107.97 in the afternoon trade.
But the downside was limited and both dollar/yen and euro/yen rebounded as
short-covering of dollar/yen emerged near the 118.85.
Still, fears of BOJ action remained in the market, which made it harder to
test the downside aggressively, according to dealers.
"Basically, sentiment remains bearish for the dollar. But given
intervention fears and absence of the New York market today, it was hard to
test the dollar/yen's downside aggressively," said Yasuji Yamanaka, deputy
general manager of Treasury Division at Nikko Trust and Banking Corp.
"However, I believe the market would test the low 118s in the near term and
wants to see whether Japan would in fact act in the market or just only provide
jawboning," he added.
Ongoing weakness in the Japanese stock markets, which hit new 17-year low
on Monday, had little impact on the yen.
Japanese shares slumped Monday to a fresh 17-year closing low following a
wave of downward revisions of earnings projections, including one by Hitachi
Ltd.
Friday's rebound on Wall Street failed to boost the local market, as the
session closed at the lowest level of the day amid light trading volume. The
Nikkei 225 Stock Average fell 303.83 points, or 2.8% to 10,409.68.
The Bank of Japan is expected to implement further monetary easing at its
Monetary Policy Meeting scheduled for Sept. 18-19, the Tokyo Shimbun reported
Monday.
The newspaper said the BOJ would ease policy to prevent the economy from
worsening amid continued weakness in domestic and overseas stock markets.
The newspaper said the BOJ may increase the current account balance target
to 7-8 trillion yen from 6 trillion yen by increasing the monthly size of its
outright buying of long-term government bonds from 600 billion yen.
In other currency trading, euro/dollar saw an early fall from 0.9095 to
0.9083 on position squaring after the mixed U.S. economic data released Friday
gave some hope of U.S. economic recovery.
The pair saw an extremely narrow trading range of 0.9083 and 0.9095 amid
overall lack of interest.
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