24 September 2001, 15:19 Forex - Dollar slightly higher in midday London trade
LONDON (AFX) - The dollar remained higher in quiet midday trade as
the Bank of Japan continued intervening to weaken the yen and the
futures market indicated the S&P 500 in New York will open strongly,
dealers said.
The possibility of imminent US attacks, and success, in Afghanistan
also provided some support and helped the Swiss franc claw back some
early losses.
Steve Barrow, currency strategist at Bear Stearns said the dollar
is gaining ground as hopes grow of swift success against the
terrorists.
"If you look back at the Iraqi conflict, the dollar started making
a strong comeback, way before the battle was over," he said.
Even though the dollar is on a down trend, Barrow said the currency
is likely to continue to appreciate over the short-term in light of the
global situation.
The dollar, is also benefiting, from further intervention by the
Bank of Japan, which is thought to have splashed over 10 bln usd
holding back the yen. It confirmed that it intervened today even though
it is a public holiday in Japan.
"I'd say there's a slight sense that the Bank of Japan may be
wearing down the dollar bears in the market," said Barrow.
Jeremy Hawkins, chief economic adviser at Bank of America in
London, said the markets remain to be convinced about the long-term
success of the BoJ's intervention, given that part of this yen
purchasing is "enforced liquidation of carry trades".
The dollar is also being supported, Hawkins noted, by the
respectable opening anticipated on Wall Street. The S&P Futures market
is anticipating a near 2 pct improvement during today's session.
"It may not be something to write home about," said Hawkins, "but
it is providing the dollar support, following last week's stock
plunge."
The swiss franc has lost some of the gains it made last week, but a
military escalation in Afghanistan, would again revive its safe haven
status, whatever the interest rate environment.
The euro is likely to be the biggest casualty of any progress made
by the dollar, given the lack of euro supportive fundamentals. The
renewed build-up in euro long positions by speculative accounts at the
CME also favours a softer single currency, dealers said.
Though the latest balance of payments figures from the euro zone
were viewed moderately positively, they have failed to provide the euro
support, given they have been largely overtaken by events, said Bank of
America's Hawkins.
Tuesday's consumer confidence figures from the US is the next key
set of data markets will be eagerly looking at, said Bear Stearn's
Barrow.
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