18 September 2001, 14:31 FOCUS BoE may now wait until MPC's Oct meeting to cut rates
--- by Victoria Main ---
LONDON (AFX) - The Bank of England may now wait until next month's
meeting of its monetary policy committee before cutting interest rates,
economists said.
They took the BoE's announcement this morning that its normal money
market operation will be conducted at a repo rate of 5.00 pct as a sign
that for the moment it will not join the world's main central banks in
easing monetary policy.
The US Federal Reserve yesterday led a round of concerted 50 basis
point cuts in a bid to limit the economic impact of last week's
devastating terrorist attacks against the US.
Economists were expecting the BoE to follow suit this morning in
spite of governor Eddie George's comment last week that coordinated
action was unlikely.
"Following this morning's operation, we now think the Bank will
keep rates on hold for the moment and that will move at the next
meeting of the MPC," Credit Suisse First Boston economist Robert Jukes
said.
"Having missed the opportunity yesterday and again this morning, it
looks highly unlikely that they will make an intermeeting move," he
said.
Investec chief economist Philip Shaw expressed surprise that the
BoE has not announced a cut.
Shaw said that if George planned to convene an emergency meeting of
the rate-setting MPC, he could have done so by now.
The BoE's failure to act reflected the contrast between the
relatively robust state of the UK economy and the global action that
other monetary authorities deem necessary, he said.
"The BoE clearly believes there is no need to press the panic
button," he said.
Economists said this morning's UK figures showing a rise in
headline inflation to 2.6 pct in August, breaking above the BoE's
target of 2.5 pct for the first time since March 1999, were not
conducive to a rate cut.
Deutsche Bank economist Ciaran Barr said, "Speculation will focus
on this increase as the reason the MPC has not cut rates in line with
other central banks. Opportunity lost?"
Jukes at CSFB agreed that inflation may have been a factor in
deterring the BoE from cutting rates.
He predicted that if it makes a move on Oct 4 at the conclusion of
the MPC's next meeting, the reduction may only be by 25 basis points,
rather than the 50 basis point cut which was expected today.
A BoE spokeswoman would not say whether the bank will make another
statement today.
© 1999-2024 Forex EuroClub
All rights reserved