10 September 2001, 11:45 The dollar held a heavy tone at the close Friday
as market participants looked at weak U.S. payroll report as a sign that there may
be more bad news ahead, for the economy and the dollar. The euro-dollar
was trading at $0.9063 and dollar-yen at Y120.10, both currency pairs
not far from their U.S. dollar lows seen earlier in the day. Traders
said they are reluctant to sell the dollar further for two reasons.
First, the market is already heavily positioned short dollars and
analysts have been warning in recent days that any signs of a U.S.
economic turn-around would put these positions in jeopardy and send
traders scrambling to buy the greenback. Secondly, if indeed the
scenario is so gloomy for the U.S., what does that mean for any global
recovery? As one Euroland corporate strategist said, "We don't think you
can save the world anymore." If the Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan and Co.
aren't seen as being able to save the U.S. economy, investors may out of
nervousness buy dollars for safe-haven reasons, rather than sell dollars
because of concerns about any further U.S. slowdown. Interbank traders
were surprised that the dollar didn't suffer more given the sharp
increase in the August unemployment rate to 4.9 percent, vs expectations
of 4.6. //Mktnews
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