31 August 2001, 09:49 UK Consumer Confidence Falls Again in Aug - GfK
LONDON (MktNews) - Consumer confidence continued to weaken in
August as pessimism grew about the state of the economy, according to
the latest monthly survey published by GfK on behalf of the European
Commission on Friday.
The GfK consumer confidence index fell to 0 in August from +4
in July, coming under the average of +1 seen over the past year, but
still over the 19-year average of -7.
The decrease in confidence spread in August to four of the five
main measures contributing to the overall index. In addition,
respondents' perception of the general economic situation over the next
12 months fell further.
Expectations for the future of personal finances fell a point in
August to +12, a rise of only a point on the year.
The perception of the development of the general economic situation
fell 6 points in Auugst to -17, an increase of a point on the year.
Expectations for the future of the general economic situation fell
14 points to -22, a fall of 12 points on the year and the lowest result
since October 1998.
The measure gauging the state of personal finances over the past 12
months was the only one that increased, to +8 from +6 in July. GfK noted
that this was the highest score for this measure since the series began
in 1982.
More respondents expect unemployment to rise as well, with
expectations of levels of unemployment over the next 12 months rising 10
points to +22 in August. This is the highest figure in two and a half
years.
The measure relating to personal savings fell 6 points to -2 in
August, the lowest score since July 1964. Some 18% of respondents
thought it a very unfavourable time to save.
The survey also revealed that 38% of those surveyed believed that
the cost of living is now 'about the same' or 'lower' than it was twelve
months ago, compared to 30% last month.
The mean score for this measure now stands at +44, down 2 points
from last month and 20 points below year-earlier levels. This was the
lowest score since March 1999. Inflationary expectations were little
changed from last month at +66 and down sharply from +84 in June.
The measure which gauges whether consumers perceive there to be a
benefit in making major purchases (such as white goods) at the present
time, eased to +21 in August from +23 in July.
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