24 August 2001, 10:35 Forex - Dollar rangebound at midafternoon in Tokyo ahead of ECB meeting
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The dollar held to narrow trading ranges at
midafternoon amid a lack of fresh incentives, with investors already
having shifted their attention to next week's ECB meeting, dealers
said.
In addition, concerns over possible verbal intervention by Japanese
authorities continued to provide support on the dollar's downside,
although fears over the collapse of the US economy also weighed on the
top-side, they said.
"Unless the yen rallies towards the 115 yen level, physical
intervention is not likely to be carried out, with the authority
largely believed to limit any efforts to halt the rise of the yen to
verbal ones at present levels," Toyo Trust and Banking customer dealer
Issaku Taguchi said.
"Besides, given the present supply and demand conditions, physical
intervention may simply create opportunities for profit-taking on the
dollar when it rises."
Dealers, however, said the dollar may regain some ground lost to
the yen due to seasonal rises in demand for the dollar and the release
of poor economic indicators in Japan.
The Asahi Shimbun reported yesterday, without citing sources, that
Japan's unemployment is likely to hit 5.0 pct, an all-time high, in
July, up from the 4.9 pct seen in May and June.
"Such poor economic data may provide some negative impetus to the
yen, and if they are negative enough, the dollar may be pushed to
around the 122-123 yen levels," Taguchi said.
Economic data due for release in the next week also include
industrial output, household spending and retail sales.
The euro was also confined to narrow trading ranges ahead of the
approaching ECB meeting, after the release overnight of weak German GDP
data strengthened hopes for a 25 basis point rate cut, dealers said.
"Participants seriously want the ECB to cut rates, but they are
still unable to rule out the possibility of no policy change, given the
past monetary policy management practice by the ECB," Toyo's Taguchi
said.
"Therefore, they are feeling the risk related to aggressively
buying into the euro, especially to beyond the 0.92 usd level."
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