15 August 2001, 11:53  Forex - Dollar weakens in early London trade on economy worries, euro benefits

LONDON (AFX) - The US dollar pared further gains in early London trade, under continued pressure from yesterday's report by the International Monetary Fund which highlighted that the trade deficit in the US could pose fairly significant risk to the unit. Dollar weakness helped drive the euro through the key 0.9050 resistance level against the US currency, traders said. Adam Chester, chief economist at Halifax Group Treasury said: "The IMF has been banging on this drum for a long time but it seems finally the market is waking up to that view and is beginning to take the threat quite seriously." "We suspect that the recent trend seen could portend potentially a more serious decline in the US dollar," he added. He said that the dollar's weakness was enhancing the likelihood of a 50 basis point cut by the US Federal Open Market Committee on August 21. The economist also pointed out that there might be some members on the FOMC who feel the currency is doing some of the work for them in the sense that if the dollar weakens it helps boost activity. Meanwhile, the euro was dragged higher against sterling, partly because of the weakness of the dollar, dealers said. Chester noted that press reports saying Chancellor Gordon Brown had instructed the Treasury to begin an assessment for the five economic tests for the EMU entry had caused sterling to come under pressure against the single European currency. "It adds weight to speculations that we could get the conclusion of the report early next year," he said. Sterling held firm against the dollar ahead of the Bank of England MPC minutes of their August 1-2 meeting and labour market reports for July both due at 9.30 today.

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