14 August 2001, 14:46  U.S. economic indicators

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Key: A-Actual data, R-Revised data, NA-Forecast not available
DATE EDT/GMT INDICATOR PERIOD AVG FORECAST PREVIOUS
08/13 1100/1500 K.C. Fed Mfg Survey July -21-A -10
08/14 0830/1230 Retail Sales July -0.2 pct +0.2 pct
ex-autos +0.1 pct -0.2 pct
08/14 0900/1300 BTM/UBSW Sales w/e 8/11 NA +0.2 pct
08/14 0900/1300 Redbook w/e 8/11 NA +1.9 pct
08/14 1000/1400 Rich Fed Survey shipmts July NA -20
Service revenues NA -2
08/14 1100/1500 ISI Co. Index w/e 8/10 NA 41.4
08/15 0830/1230 Business Inven June -0.3 pct unch
08/15 0915/1315 Industrial Prod July -0.2 pct -0.7 pct
Capacity Util 76.7 pct 77.0 pct
08/15 1300/1700 NAHB Index Aug NA 56
08/16 0830/1230 Consumer Prices July unch +0.2 pct
ex-Food/Energy +0.2 pct +0.3 pct
08/16 0830/1230 Housing Starts July 1.627 mln 1.658 mln
Building Permits 1.584 mln 1.587 mln-R
08/16 0830/1230 Jobless Claims w/e 8/11 393,000 385,000
08/16 0830/1230 Real Earnings July NA +0.1 pct
08/16 1200/1600 Phil Fed Survey Aug -9.5 -12.2
08/16 no set time Cleveland Median July NA +0.4 pct
08/17 0830/1230 Int'l Trade June -$29.39 bln -$28.34 bln
08/17 1000/1400 U Mich Sentiment Aug-Prel 92.5 92.4
---------------FOLLOWING WEEK'S CALENDAR 8/20-----------------
(These preliminary forecasts will be updated on Friday.)
08/20 1000/1400 Lead Indicators July +0.2 pct +0.3 pct
08/20 1400/1800 Federal Budget July NA +$31.86 bln
08/21 0900/1300 BTM/UBSW Sales w/e 8/18 NA NA
08/21 0900/1400 Redbook w/e 8/18 NA NA
08/21 1100/1500 ISI Co. Index w/e 8/17 NA NA
08/21 1415/1815 FOMC Meeting results NA 3.75
08/23 0830/1230 Jobless Claims w/e 8/18 NA NA
08/23 1000/1400 Phil Fed professional forecasters survey
08/23 1400/1800 FOMC Minutes June 26-27
08/24 0830/1230 Durable Goods July -0.4 pct -1.7 pct-R
Ex-Transportation NA -1.5 pct
Ex-Defense NA -1.5 pct-R
08/24 1000/1400 New Home Sales July 911,000 922,000
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SELECTED INDIVIDUAL FORECASTS FOR 8/13 WEEK, AS OF 8/10
--------------------------------------------------------------
RETAIL EX- IND CORE HSG JOB- PHIL
Company SALES AUTO PRO CPI CPI START LESS FED
4Cast Ltd -0.3 0.1 -0.4 -0.2 0.2 1.630 395 -8.0
ABN-AMRO 0.0 0.1 -0.3 -0.1 0.1 1.691 - -10.0
Argus Res 0.2 0.2 -0.2 0.2 0.3 1.680 - -9.0
Bk of Amer -0.1 0.3 -0.1 0.1 0.2 1.625 - -10.0
Barclays 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.620 385 -10.0
Bear Stearns -0.8 -0.4 -0.2 -0.2 0.2 1.640 400 -10.0
BTM -0.1 0.0 -0.2 0.1 0.1 1.630 390 -10.0
CreditSuisse -0.1 0.3 -0.4 -0.2 0.1 1.635 390 -9.0
Daiwa 0.0 0.2 -0.2 -0.1 0.1 1.620 - -
Deutsche Asset -0.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.640 390 -
GKS&T -0.3 0.0 -0.3 0.0 0.1 1.580 400 -10.0
Harris Bk -0.5 -0.3 0.0 -0.2 0.2 1.600 380 -
IDEAglobal -0.3 0.1 -0.4 0.1 0.1 1.633 389 -7.9
Lehman Bros -0.1 0.1 -0.3 -0.1 0.2 1.625 - -10.0
MCM MoneyWatch 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.2 1.630 - -10.0
Merrill Lynch -0.2 0.3 -0.3 -0.3 0.1 1.620 400 -5.0
Nomura Secs -0.5 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.2 1.610 - -
Scotia Capital -0.1 0.1 -0.5 0.1 0.2 1.600 405 -10.0
S&P's MMS -0.3 0.1 -0.3 -0.1 0.2 1.610 395 -7.0
Thomson Finl -0.3 0.0 -0.4 -0.1 0.1 1.620 386 -15.0
UBS Warburg -0.4 -0.1 -0.3 -0.1 0.2 1.625 400 -10.0
---------------------------------------------------------------
RETAIL EX- IND CORE HSG JOB- PHIL
SALES AUTO PRD CPI CPI START LESS FED
#forecasts 21 21 21 21 21 21 14 17
Average -0.2 0.1 -0.2 0.0 0.2 1.627 393 -9.5
---------------------------------------------------------------
SELECTED INDIVIDUAL FORECASTS FOR 8/20 WEEK, AS OF 8/10
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LEAD DURABLE NEW HOME
Company INDICATORS GOODS SALES
4Cast Ltd 0.3 - -
ABN-AMRO - -0.5 922
Argus Research 0.2 -1.4 920
Bank of America 0.1 0.5 900
Barclays 0.1 1.0 900
Bank of Tokyo (BTM) 0.3 0.3 910
Daiwa 0.3 -1.0 910
Deutsche Asset Mgt 0.1 1.0 920
GKS&T 0.0 -0.5 910
IDEAglobal.com 0.2 - -
Lehman Bros - -1.3 910
Merrill Lynch 0.0 - -
Nomura Securities 0.4 -1.4 910
Scotia Capital - -0.5 910
Thomson Financial 0.3 -1.1 910
--------------------------------------------------------------
LEAD DURABLE NEW HOME
INDICATORS GOODS SALES
#forecasts 12 12 12
Average 0.2 -0.4 911

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