13 August 2001, 10:46 Forex - Dollar top-heavy in midafternoon Tokyo on concerns over US economy
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The dollar turned top-heavy against the yen in
midafternoon trading due to underlying concerns over the outlook for
the US economy, dealers said.
The US unit reached a high of 122.50 yen earlier, after the Nikkei
225 index hit a new year-to-date low, but lost momentum due to a lack
of follow-through buying.
Toyo Trust and Banking Co Ltd customer dealer Issaku Taguchi said
the US currency is most likely to be exposed to downside risk for some
time to come, with the market seen continuing to adjust long positions
built on optimism over the US economy.
"As the recent Beige Book indicated, investors now feel the strong
risk that the US economy will not achieve any quick recovery,
especially in a way that they had hoped for previously," he said.
"Therefore, the market will remain highly sensitive to any negative
leads for the dollar."
However, the dollar is most likely to trade in a limited range for
the remainder of this week due to the Japanese "Obon" summer holiday
season, which set in today, dealers said.
"My main scenario is that the dollar will be held to the 121-123
yen trading range this week, but if it were to show any move away from
this range, it should dive towards the 120 yen level."
Some investors also refrained from taking fresh positions ahead of
the announcement tomorrow of near-term policy management by the Bank of
Japan, although the consensus view is that the nine policy members will
vote to maintain the present policy directive, dealers said.
The euro was little changed due to a lack of fresh leads, with the
market waiting for next ECB and FOMC meeting later in this month,
dealers said.
Toyo's Taguchi said that although relatively heavy sell orders
continued to weigh on the top-side of the euro above the 0.8950 usd
level, the unit is likely to reclaim the 0.90 usd level.
"But the euro is not likely to see any acceleration in its rising
momentum above the 0.90 usd level," he said.
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