9 July 2001, 17:01 US FX Daily Outlook: Dollar seen consolidating in quiet action
By Cornelius Luca
New York, July 9 (BridgeNews) - The U.S. dollar is seen treading water
in a typical Monday session due a lack of trading factors. U.S. Treasury
Secretary Paul O'Neill attempted to add interest to the bland Group of
Seven meeting in Rome by saying that the soft U.S. growth is well-placed
for an imminent recovery. But a leading group of business economists
predicted Monday that the U.S. economy will grow at an anemic rate of
about 1-2% in the second half, not much better than the slow pace seen in
the first half of the year.
Euro/dollar and sterling/dollar slipped from six-day highs of 0.8502
and 1.4217, respectively, dollar/Swiss franc bounced from an 11-day low of
1.7886, while dollar/yen swerved quietly, mostly within a 30-pip range in
Europe, after slipping in Asia to a four-day low of 125.41. Dollar/Canada
countered its Friday's gains to a one-week high of 1.5233 with a decline
on profit taking that dragged it back below the 20-day moving average.
This week's event agenda will only come to life on Friday, when the
release of the June retail sales will be augmented by the June producer
price index and the University of Michigan consumer confidence survey for
early July. In the absence of data on Monday, dollar/yen and euro/dollar
should see mild weakness in two-way activity.
Current Previous Change Global Global
NY open NY close low high
USD/JPY 125.54 125.85 -0.31 125.41 125.98
EUR/USD 0.8455 0.8477 -0.0022 0.8446 0.8502
EUR/JPY 106.16 106.60 -0.44 106.00 106.71
GBP/USD 1.4058 1.4108 -0.0050 1.4056 1.4127
USD/CHF 1.7975 1.7930 0.0045 1.7886 1.7995
USD/CAD 1.5177 1.5228 -0.0051 1.5179 1.5228
AUD/USD 0.5052 0.5080 -0.0028 0.5050 0.5088
NZD/USD 0.4033 0.4050 -0.0017 0.4037 0.4064
SP.1 1196.80 3.00 1188.80 1201.40
ND.1 1694.50 11.00 1663.50 1697.00
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